Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.361289 5.034128 5.775823 6.654063 7.665728 8.794761 10.150801
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.328712 4.177493 5.192806 6.496889 8.128162 10.102552 12.676155
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.762571 3.729665 4.971999 6.685099 8.987851 11.979366 16.167593
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.241728 3.231044 4.585672 6.576285 9.430081 13.379878 19.275133
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.002624 3.062384 4.599679 6.992558 10.628865 15.958360 24.387009
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.775599 2.865983 4.533260 7.268533 11.652243 18.421929 29.709517
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.541374 2.614852 4.337833 7.304695 12.298214 20.389660 34.554169
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.278100 2.270714 3.937219 6.938732 12.225454 21.183001 37.588479
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.174493 2.178561 3.936563 7.238511 13.306358 24.024519 44.500094
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.116646 2.156878 4.051449 7.752972 14.831583 27.833807 53.676836
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.021819 2.050774 3.995973 7.940749 15.774125 30.704544 61.513081
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.927906 1.931279 3.896446 8.025339 16.522901 33.297727 69.166125
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.804111 1.737024 3.631477 7.758501 16.568482 34.595016 74.567805
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.692736 1.551123 3.356149 7.428183 16.432981 35.506880 79.313727
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.636001 1.474314 3.297539 7.551797 17.285616 38.604108 89.254874
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.562736 1.348941 3.115445 7.374068 17.444158 40.222863 96.146776
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.541589 1.340924 3.194268 7.805188 19.060433 45.325514 111.881726
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.512003 1.307994 3.210579 8.090542 20.374689 49.918126 127.110317
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.469787 1.237148 3.126191 8.116822 21.059946 53.111370 139.381303
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.408731 1.108595 2.881554 7.702059 20.571641 53.358781 144.193435
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.391735 1.093331 2.920720 8.029572 22.057614 58.793131 163.454451
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.386478 1.109075 3.042650 8.596777 24.269709 66.425131 189.839843
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.365409 1.077443 3.033555 8.802814 25.522190 71.680154 210.445399